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As markets proceed to really feel the downward stress from the Federal Reserve’s tightening of financial coverage, with the central financial institution attempting to get inflation ranges again to its 2% goal, it has turn out to be tougher to seek out apparent locations to deploy capital, even as excessive inflation makes holding a money a value-losing proposition.
UBS sees these difficult markets persevering with within the close to time period. Nevertheless, the agency additionally sees long-term alternatives within the present atmosphere, leaving it to advise buyers: “develop a phase-in plan and keep it up.”
Each equities and bonds have arrived in bear market territory, with declines better than 20% from their peaks. Wanting solely at 2022, the S&P 500 (SP500), together with its mirroring ETFs (NYSEARCA:SPY), (NYSEARCA:VOO) and (IVV), are off 23% from their year-to-date highs. On the similar time, fashionable Treasury bond funds (NYSEARCA:AGG) and (BND) are off 18% from their 2022 buying and selling highs.
UBS predicted that the “present inclement situations” in monetary markets “look more likely to persist for a while longer.” As such, the agency gave its view that “the risk-reward profile for equities [is] unfavorable within the close to time period.”
Nevertheless, for inventors with an extended time horizon, UBS sees some alternatives in accordance.
“In our view, far-sighted buyers wanting to place capital to work can take into account phasing-in to markets, shopping for the dip, including bond publicity first, implementing a put-writing technique, and utilizing structured options.”
UBS added: “The decline in absolute valuations and rise in bond yields have improved the longer-term return outlook for diversified buyers, and risky market situations resembling right this moment’s can current alternative for long-term buyers to construct publicity.”
For investor’s trying to find the underside, Wells Fargo famous {that a} market backside gained’t come till the Fed makes a pivot.
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