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Transocean (NYSE:RIG) +6.7% in Thursday’s buying and selling after Barclays upgraded shares two notches to Obese from Underweight with a $5 worth goal, raised from $3.50, because the financial institution forecasts dayrates will rise to $500K subsequent 12 months from $400K presently.
Barclays believes the offshore drilling market outlook has improved materially, and whereas Transocean’s (RIG) debt stability stays a priority, the corporate’s risk-reward profile is “now considerably extra engaging at present valuation ranges in gentle of serious improve in pricing we have seen for high-spec offshore rigs the previous 3-4 months – a number of long-term contracts for $440K/day – and our view that the market will stay tight over the following 2-3 years not less than.”
Transocean (RIG) additionally pull on a number of levers to assist pay down debt and lengthen maturities, with phrases and pricing prone to grow to be much more favorable over time as the corporate ought to generate ~$900M of free money movement per 12 months beginning in 2024.
Barclays additionally upgraded TechnipFMC (NYSE:FTI) to Obese from Equal Weight with a $14 worth goal, up from $9, citing its “materially decrease” deepwater price construction over the past 5 years; shares +5% in Thursday’s buying and selling.
TechnipFMC’s (FTI) 40% progress in orders this 12 months is “simply the beginning, and continued momentum the following a number of years coupled with higher pricing (given current capability rationalization and trade consolidation) will drive earnings progress and free money movement era,” Barclays wrote.
Schlumberger (SLB) is Barclays’ high choose within the group with offshore oilfield spending about to ramp up.
Transocean (RIG) shares “have been artificially pressured for a very long time,” and the offshore drilling sector is “recovering quick,” Anna Sokolidou wrote in an evaluation printed just lately on Looking for Alpha.
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