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At the very least one Wall Road analyst is popping bearish on Warner Bros. Discovery (WBD) forward of the corporate’s third-quarter earnings report.
Needham Analyst Laura Martin, who maintains a Maintain score on the inventory, lowered her Q3 2022 estimates on the corporate’s income and working revenue and EPS, citing macroeconomic challenges like overseas trade headwinds and additional subscribers losses in linear tv.
Martin additionally lowered her promoting income estimate by 10% (to down 9% year-over-year), reflecting: “WBD steering of excessive single to low double-digit declines, owing to present scatter market softness.”
On the similar time, the analyst expressed optimism over the the corporate’s licensed content material, noting that Warner Bros. Discovery ought to have increased content material income than beforehand anticipated because of the licensing of “The Lord of the Rings” library motion pictures to Amazon (AMZN) forward of the streaming launch of “The Rings of Energy.”
‘Content material remains to be king’
Leaning on the creation (and licensing) of franchise-based content material appears to be an necessary forward-looking technique for Warner Bros. Discovery.
In response to a textual content from CEO David Zaslav to Semafor’s Ben Smith, the manager wrote: “Content material remains to be king… it is the entire sport… however it needs to be nice (Batman, Sport of Thrones, Harry Potter).”
In a while, he added: “Optionality is the holy grail … the flexibility to make content material that issues to customers and take it on a number of platforms world wide.”
The media large’s dedication to franchises was additional underscored earlier this week after The Hollywood Reporter reported that the corporate is growing a “Man of Metal” sequel with Henry Cavill reprising his function of Superman.
Different media executives appear to align with Zaslav’s imaginative and prescient as properly.
“One of many issues that Paramount International brings to customers is a deep assortment of franchises,” Paramount CEO Bob Bakish stated throughout Yahoo Finance’s All Markets Summit, explaining that franchises are closely tied to the corporate’s total streaming technique.
“Our Paramount movie slate is an increasing number of tilted in direction of franchises,” Bakish added. “Why? As a result of they’ve inbuilt fan bases and you may evolve the storylines. Similar factor in linear tv.” He cited franchise-based sequence like “NCIS” along with TV shows-turned-films like “Paw Patrol” and “SpongeBob.”
Layoffs plague Warner Bros. Discovery
Regardless of Warner Bros. Discovery’s content material commitments, it stays tormented by a wide range of issues with the corporate enduring one more spherical of layoffs final week.
The corporate’s tv studio lower 26% of its headcount (125 positions) throughout its scripted, unscripted, and animation divisions — shedding 82 staffers and opting to not fill an extra 43 vacant positions.
The media large additionally shuttered its digital manufacturing arm Stage 13 and the 40-year-old Warner Bros. Tv Workshop, a long-standing pioneer in fostering new and various expertise.
The transfer provides to the corporate’s broader restructuring efforts because it seems to be to slash $3 billion price of prices over the subsequent two years and prepares to mix HBO Max with Discovery+.
The media large reported a $3.42 billion loss within the second quarter, partly resulting from obstacles associated to its current merger.
Warner Bros. Discovery now expects 2022 adjusted EBITDA to return in between $9 billion and $9.5 billion, a decline from earlier forecasts of $10 billion. Administration additionally lower its full-year 2023 EBITDA steering from $14 billion to $12 billion.
Warner Bros. Discovery inventory has fallen greater than 50% year-to-date, presently hovering at 52-week lows.
Alexandra is a Senior Leisure and Meals Reporter at Yahoo Finance. Observe her on Twitter @alliecanal8193 and electronic mail her at [email protected]
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