Lumen inventory falls after dividend is eradicated, however is there a silver lining?

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Lumen Applied sciences Inc. shares had been falling sharply in Thursday buying and selling after the telecommunications firm introduced it was eliminating its dividend and promoting one other enterprise, strikes which have prompted robust questions on the way forward for the enterprise.

The dividend announcement got here together with Lumen’s
LUMN,
-16.52%
third-quarter earnings report, which additionally confirmed misses on revenue and income. Moreover, the corporate introduced late Wednesday that it has agreed to promote its enterprise in Europe, the Center East, and Africa for $1.8 billion.

Shares had been down 15% in Thursday afternoon buying and selling.

Whereas the choice to remove the dividend got here barely sooner than Citi Analysis analyst Michael Rollins anticipated, it wasn’t a shock.

“Lumen stays initially of a multi-year transition to enhance mass markets income with funding and enhance enterprise phase efficiency, whereas absorbing ongoing legacy headwinds,” he wrote. “We imagine each the monetization and dividend reduce to zero are the appropriate strikes to enhance its monetary flexibility to prioritize future working investments and handle internet debt leverage.”

Rollins continues to charge the shares at impartial.

Cowen & Co.’s Gregory Williams agreed that the dividend reduce was “long-awaited,” and he noticed alternative forward for the corporate.

Lumen “can turbocharge its progress initiatives” comparable to automation and fiber-to-the-home, “with a sharper focus whereas eradicating a significant inventory overhang.”

He nonetheless anticipated uneven buying and selling.

“As for the inventory, anticipate volatility with a technical wash-out, although admittedly not many yield-oriented traders remaining, and a further sell-off on the still-challenged fundamentals…counteracted by giant quick curiosity protecting, and an eventual potential return for worth traders, all bolstered with a buyback,” Williams wrote.

He maintained his market-perform score on the inventory whereas slicing his worth goal to $8 from $12, writing that “lackluster” third-quarter leads to areas like enterprise and fiber builds maintain him sidelined.

However in gentle of the dividend elimination and sale of the EMEA enterprise, MoffettNathanson analyst Nick Del Deo nonetheless wasn’t satisfied that the corporate’s efforts will repay.

“We don’t imagine the EMEA deal adjustments Lumen’s outlook in a fabric method however do imagine eliminating the dividend was the appropriate factor to do,” he wrote in a notice to shoppers as he maintained an underperform score.

“We gained’t know the reply for a while, however the elementary query we have to ask is: can a streamlined Lumen with a ‘growth-oriented’ administration group drive an inflection within the progress charge of the enterprise?” Del Deo requested. “Or will this finally show to be a case the place the structural place of the remaining enterprise – vital legacy income streams, intense competitors, commoditization and cannibalization dynamics, a shrinking trade, and an excessive amount of monetary leverage — is just too a lot to beat?”

In his view, “even proficient managers are prone to have bother turning the ship.”

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