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We have been spoiled final week with six ranked matchups in seemingly the perfect school soccer slate in fairly a while. Again to the grind we go, though Chip Kelly’s return to Eugene in a battle of top-10 faculties does supply loads of intrigue.
No. 9 UCLA enters this showdown with No. 10 Oregon (-6) undefeated, regardless of being an underdog in back-to-back video games. Usually, I would query how a lot a group has left within the tank going through its third straight ranked opponent, however the Bruins are coming off a bye. I’ve extra concern that these earlier exams (Washington and Utah) occurred at house, whereas that is UCLA’s first street sport of your entire season. Autzen Stadium can be electrical.
Sharp cash on Oregon early within the week moved this line up a half-point. My primary wager is on the over 70.5. It is an enormous quantity, however there are loads of causes for that. First off, each defenses are pretty common, rating fiftieth or worse in defensive effectivity. The Geese have confronted three respectable offenses. Georgia and Washington State lit them up, and the BYU efficiency is a bit deceptive. The Cougars have been pressured to go for it on fourth down a couple of occasions however all in all, it was a strong exhibiting by Oregon’s protection.
In the meantime, these offenses are elite. Every rank within the prime 15 in effectivity, factors per sport and yards per sport. On prime of that, when you dive deeper, Oregon’s numbers could possibly be much more staggering, if not for the character of blowouts. In 4 of their six video games, Oregon took it simple within the fourth quarter by resting starters, together with quarterback Bo Nix. In a sport that is anticipated to be aggressive, all indications can be that Oregon’s offense can rating a ton via 4 full quarters.
UCLA’s wins over Washington and Utah every featured at the very least 72 factors. The Bruins have demonstrated a capability to attain at a excessive fee in opposition to a top quality opponent, and that’s doubtless wanted on Saturday. Dorian Thompson-Robinson has steadily improved every season and this 12 months he has 15 touchdowns and simply two interceptions. Avoiding turnovers is find out how to money this excessive of an over as a result of each offenses will inevitably have loads of chunk performs with tempo.
Ranked Matchups
Boston School Eagles at No. 13 Wake Forest Demon Deacons (-20.5)
The Demon Deacons are quietly having a robust season and stay alive for an ACC title. They solely have one loss, and that was a six-point defeat to Clemson. This 12 months began off with uncertainty, however star quarterback Sam Hartman joined the group and the offense remains to be potent. It ranks twentieth in offensive effectivity and ninth in yards per go try. Wake ought to be capable to carve up a Boston School protection that has deteriorated over time, rating 104th this season in effectivity. The Eagles ought to surrender a ton of factors and never be capable to match Wake’s scoring, as a result of BC’s 104th rating in offensive effectivity. BC has performed two street video games and obtained blown out in each. This must be a 3rd.
Choose: Wake Forest -20.5
No. 7 Ole Miss at LSU (-1)
It isn’t usually you seen an unranked group favored over an undefeated top-10 college, significantly an SEC one, however right here we’re. And truthfully, it is sensible. The Tigers obtained undressed by Tennessee a pair weeks in the past however we now can respect the Vols much more. LSU is a strong soccer group and can be able to rock at Demise Valley. On prime of that, Ole Miss actually solely has one spectacular win (Kentucky at house) and this group feels ripe for a loss. The Tigers have loads of expertise within the secondary to deal with Lane Kiffin’s aerial assault and let’s hope QB Jayden Daniels can duplicate final week’s spectacular efficiency.
Favourite Performs
Hawai’i Rainbow Warriors at Colorado State Rams (-5)
There may be not a lot optimistic to say about both group. They’ve mixed for 3 wins, and this sport must be a troublesome watch. Nonetheless, we do not have to look at it; we simply want a winner, and I believe now we have one with the underneath. Colorado State is the one FBS group to go underneath in each sport this season. Offensively, the Rams rank useless final in effectivity out of 131 faculties. In the meantime, Hawai’i has been unable to uncover high quality quarterback play. My solely concern is Hawai’i’s incapability to cease the run, and the Rams will doubtless attempt to dominate this sport on the bottom. My hope is the Rainbow Warriors are in a position to make some tackles and hold this sport comparatively low scoring.
Choose: Below 46.5
Colorado at Oregon State (-23.5, 48.5)
The Buffs are driving excessive after scoring their first win this season in opposition to Stanford. However let’s not begin pretending they’ve resolved their offensive woes. They rank one hundred and twenty fifth in effectivity and whereas Oregon State sits fortieth, they’re averaging slightly below 23 factors the final three video games since backup QB Ben Gulbranson took over. The Beavers need to lean on their protection and grind out a win. When it comes to seconds between performs, they’ve the eighth-slowest fee in FBS. This mixture is a recipe for an underneath.
Choose: underneath 48.5
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