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Week 13 of the NFL season wraps up Monday evening with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-3.5, 40.5) internet hosting the New Orleans Saints at Raymond James Stadium (ESPN, 8:15 ET).
After an thrilling Sunday of motion, we have now yet one more alternative this week to wager on skilled soccer. So which performs do our analysts like essentially the most?
ESPN Stats & Info’s Seth Walder and Soccer Outsiders’ Aaron Schatz present their prime performs for the matchup.
Notice: Strains from Caesars Sportsbook until in any other case indicated.
Monday, 8:15 p.m. ET, at Raymond James Stadium
Schatz: At -430, it is barely too wealthy for me to take the Buccaneers to win the division, however I am going to fortunately take Tampa Bay -3.5 on this recreation. Tampa Bay has been higher than its file and at present ranks tenth in DVOA. The protection is seventh and even the cross offense continues to be tenth. Tampa Bay’s massive points have been luck and the operating recreation. Evaluate the Buccaneers to the Saints, who’re twenty fifth general with a mean protection and each a poor offense and particular groups. Particularly contemplating that offense is extra predictive than protection, I am going with Tampa Bay on Monday evening.
Schatz: I am unsure this is similar New Orleans protection that has achieved such a great job holding again Brady lately. There are quite a lot of accidents. If I have been a Saints fan I’d be significantly apprehensive about Marshon Lattimore, who has such an excellent historical past of slowing down Mike Evans, but additionally hasn’t performed since Week 5. With out Lattimore, I feel Tampa Bay can positively throw on the Saints — they usually’ll must as a result of that operating recreation has been so problematic.
Walder: Sure, and sure. First, I am going to lean towards Olave getting over 60.5 yards right here. My mannequin is correct according to that quantity, however I nonetheless just like the over as a result of that is not incorporating our receiver monitoring metrics, the place Olave shines. Critically! He ranks sixth in general rating amongst all receivers and tight ends, trailing solely A.J. Brown, Stefon Diggs, Tyreek Hill, Tyler Lockett and Justin Jefferson. That is it. Get this man a quarterback! And that is additionally why I feel he is an excellent worth for OROY. He is already 3 times the participant Walker is and would simply be my vote if I had one. I am shocked he isn’t the favourite.
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