Betting suggestions for Monday Night time Soccer: Ravens vs. Saints

Week 9 of the NFL season wraps up Monday evening with the New Orleans Saints internet hosting the Baltimore Ravens (-3, 45) at Caesars Superdome (ESPN, 8:15 ET).

After an thrilling Sunday of motion, we now have yet one more alternative to wager on skilled soccer. So which performs do our analysts like essentially the most?

Betting analyst Joe Fortenbaugh, fantasy and sports activities betting analyst André Snellings, plus Soccer Outsiders’ Aaron Schatz present their high performs.

Observe: Strains from Caesars Sportsbook until in any other case indicated.

Baltimore Ravens (-2, 47) at New Orleans Saints

Monday, 8:15 p.m. ET, Caesars Superdome

The Ravens enter Monday evening’s matchup in opposition to the Saints as solely 2-point favorites. Do you just like the Ravens to maintain their NFC South streak rolling or can the Saints pull off the upset?

Schatz: I am going to take the Ravens and provides the 2 factors. Baltimore remains to be ranked fourth within the league in DVOA, together with No. 2 on offense and No. 1 on particular groups. In fact, it’s important to low cost their offense a bit with each Mark Andrews and Rashod Bateman out (though Bateman hasn’t performed an enormous position for weeks), however you additionally must low cost the New Orleans protection with out cornerback Marshon Lattimore. As I’ve famous a number of occasions on this area, Baltimore’s poor efficiency within the fourth quarter early within the yr will not be a sign that we should always anticipate fourth-quarter collapses all season lengthy. The Ravens are the higher group and will pull this out, even when the Saints get frisky.

Money out your parlay too early? Get burned on a final second play? Come commiserate with Jason Fitz and his unhealthy beats of the week.

Lamar Jackson has averaged 69.1 dashing yards per recreation and at the moment leads the league in yards per carry (7.4). The Saints protection has additionally had some success in opposition to cell quarterbacks, limiting them to only 136 yards and two touchdowns on 31 makes an attempt. Jackson’s dashing yard prop is at the moment 62.5 and he’s +145 to attain a landing. What are your ideas?

Schatz: I just like the underneath on the Jackson dashing prop, however would keep away from the TD prop. We at the moment have Jackson projected with simply 0.28 dashing touchdowns, nearer to a line of +250. Past that, the Saints rank thirty first in pass-rush win fee, suggesting there shall be much less strain on Jackson to get out of the pocket and scramble.

For the Saints, one of many lone vibrant spots this season has been the resurgence of Alvin Kamara. New Orleans is without doubt one of the greatest dashing groups within the league (fourth in dashing yards) whereas Baltimore has probably the greatest run defenses and simply added linebacker Roquan Smith on the commerce deadline. Do you want Kamara to go over his dashing prop (60.5 yards) on Monday evening?

Snellings: I like Kamara to go over 97 complete yards, however I am agnostic on his dashing prop. Kamara has all the time been greatest when getting used as a twin menace, and he is continued that in his resurgence. Over his final 4 outings, he has averaged 78.3 dashing yards and 67.0 receiving yards for 145.3 yards/recreation complete, going over 100 yards in all 4 video games. He is had extra receiving yards than dashing yards in two straight video games, making complete yards the safer play than merely relying on dashing alone.

What’s your greatest wager for Monday evening’s recreation?

Fortenbaugh: I am going with Baltimore -0.5 (-105) within the first half. The Ravens rank fifth within the NFL in opponent first-half factors per recreation (8.8) and simply added a star linebacker (Smith) in a commerce with Chicago. By 8 weeks, Baltimore additionally boasts a +4.7 first-half level differential whereas the Saints clock in at -2.3. Plus, get this — in his 57 profession regular-season begins, Jackson is 36-19-2 ATS within the first half.

Schatz: I am going to take Taysom Hill as the primary TD scorer (+700). We all know the Saints like to change it up with Hill close to the aim line, and the Ravens rank solely twenty fifth in run protection DVOA this season. This prop in all probability does not hit, however +700 is nice worth on it.

Snellings: I am additionally going to go together with Hill, however as an “anytime” landing (+155). Hill has scored six occasions in seven video games, along with his most up-to-date approaching a reception after his first 5 have been on the bottom. He did not rating any touchdowns in Week 8 — regardless of a season-high 10 carries and 11 touches — largely as a result of Kamara scored 3 times. It looks like Hill is due.