Betting ideas for ‘Monday Evening Soccer’

Week 13 of the NFL season wraps up Monday evening with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-3.5, 40.5) internet hosting the New Orleans Saints at Raymond James Stadium (ESPN, 8:15 ET).

After an thrilling Sunday of motion, we have now yet one more alternative this week to wager on skilled soccer. So which performs do our analysts like essentially the most?

ESPN Stats & Info’s Seth Walder and Soccer Outsiders’ Aaron Schatz present their prime performs for the matchup.

Notice: Strains from Caesars Sportsbook until in any other case indicated.

New Orleans Saints vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-3.5, 40.5)

Monday, 8:15 p.m. ET, at Raymond James Stadium

Tom Brady and the Buccaneers host Alvin Kamara and the Saints in a pivotal NFC South matchup. The Buccaneers enter Monday evening as favorites to win this recreation and are additionally at present -430 to win the division. What are your ideas on this matchup and the NFC South race?

Schatz: At -430, it is barely too wealthy for me to take the Buccaneers to win the division, however I am going to fortunately take Tampa Bay -3.5 on this recreation. Tampa Bay has been higher than its file and at present ranks tenth in DVOA. The protection is seventh and even the cross offense continues to be tenth. Tampa Bay’s massive points have been luck and the operating recreation. Evaluate the Buccaneers to the Saints, who’re twenty fifth general with a mean protection and each a poor offense and particular groups. Particularly contemplating that offense is extra predictive than protection, I am going with Tampa Bay on Monday evening.

The Saints have discovered success limiting Brady previously matchups between these two groups. Brady’s passing props for Monday evening are 272.5 yards and 1.5 touchdowns. Do you see Brady having a giant evening in opposition to the Saints or will New Orleans sluggish him down as soon as once more?

Schatz: I am unsure this is similar New Orleans protection that has achieved such a great job holding again Brady lately. There are quite a lot of accidents. If I have been a Saints fan I’d be significantly apprehensive about Marshon Lattimore, who has such an excellent historical past of slowing down Mike Evans, but additionally hasn’t performed since Week 5. With out Lattimore, I feel Tampa Bay can positively throw on the Saints — they usually’ll must as a result of that operating recreation has been so problematic.

Rookie broad receiver Chris Olave has been one of many shiny spots for New Orleans this season. He at present leads all Saints receivers with 56 receptions and 822 yards on 92 targets. Olave has the second-best odds to win Offensive Rookie of the Yr (+550) and his receiving prop for Monday evening is 56.5 yards. Do you see Olave having a giant recreation in opposition to the Tampa Bay secondary, and might he cross Kenneth Walker III within the rookie race?

Walder: Sure, and sure. First, I am going to lean towards Olave getting over 60.5 yards right here. My mannequin is correct according to that quantity, however I nonetheless just like the over as a result of that is not incorporating our receiver monitoring metrics, the place Olave shines. Critically! He ranks sixth in general rating amongst all receivers and tight ends, trailing solely A.J. Brown, Stefon Diggs, Tyreek Hill, Tyler Lockett and Justin Jefferson. That is it. Get this man a quarterback! And that is additionally why I feel he is an excellent worth for OROY. He is already 3 times the participant Walker is and would simply be my vote if I had one. I am shocked he isn’t the favourite.